La Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Fran Garcia 85' goal
  • goal Nahuel Molina 22'
  • goal Mario Hermoso 24'

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2023 8.00pm
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Isi

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 8.00pm
Atletico 1 - 0 Betis
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 27.76% (+0.02)
Draw 27.69% (+0.17)
Atletico Madrid 44.55% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.22% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.94% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 59.05% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 20.49% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 79.51% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 8.62% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 91.38% (+0.27)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 62.8% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 37.2% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 26.01% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 73.98% (+0.31)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 73.6% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 26.4% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 38.44% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 61.56% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 27.76%
Draw 27.69%
Atletico Madrid 44.54%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.71% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.8% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.82% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.69%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 13.07% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 8.71% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.54%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Alvaro Morata 20' goal
  • goal Radamel Falcao 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mario Suarez 30' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 42' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 20'
  • goal Koke 49'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 74'
  • yellowcard Koke 78'
  • yellowcard Jan Oblak 81'
  • redcard Angel Correa 85'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 85'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Giuliano Simeone 7' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 26' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 28' goal
  • Angel Correa 53' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 73' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 74'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Vicente Calderón (Madrid)
  • Antoine Griezmann 63' goal
  • Koke 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 29'
La Liga
Apr 30, 2016 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 55' goal
  • Matias Kranevitter 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bebe 35'