La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Atletico

Garcia (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Atletico Madrid
27.76% ( 0.02)	27.69% ( 0.17)	44.55% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.94% (

-0.58)

59.05% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49% (

-0.45)

79.51% (

0.45)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-0.31)

37.2% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01% (

-0.3)

73.98% (

0.3)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-0.36)

26.4% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-0.48)

61.56% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 27.76%

Atletico Madrid 44.54%

Draw 27.69%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.76%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 44.54%