La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Elche

Ezzalzouli (71', 84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morente (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Elche
54.12% ( -0.3)	24.54% ( 0.04)	21.34% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 49.03% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7% (

0.11)

52.3% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26% (

0.1)

74% (

-0.09)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.07)

19.26% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-0.12)

50.98% (

0.12)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.72% (

0.32)

39.28% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02% (

0.3)

75.98% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 54.11%

Elche 21.34%

Draw 24.53%

Osasuna	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.11%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.34%