La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
0 - 4
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewandowski (20', 66'), Fati (56'), Torres (70')

Reaction

Ansu Fati celebrates scoring for Barcelona on September 10, 2022

Xavi backs Ansu Fati to kick on after goal against Elche

Barcelona boss Xavi expects Ansu Fati to enjoy a strong end to the 2022-23 campaign amid the speculation surrounding his future.

Apr 2, 11:39

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Elche
Sunday, March 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Barcelona
13.34% ( 0.1)	18.96% ( 0.23)	67.7% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 50.55% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

-0.82)

41.96% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

-0.83)

64.37% (

0.82)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.06% (

-0.37)

42.94% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.75% (

-0.32)

79.24% (

0.31)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59% (

-0.32)

11.41% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.82% (

-0.7)

36.18% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Elche 13.34%

Barcelona 67.69%

Draw 18.96%

Elche	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.34%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.96%	0-2 @ 11.54% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.06% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.75% Total : 67.69%