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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Real Betis logo

Elche
2 - 3
Betis

Fidel (7' pen.), Boye (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Iglesias (65' pen.), Miranda (68'), Jose (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Espanyol
Sunday, February 19 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawReal Betis
29.23% (-0.181 -0.18)25.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.08% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (-0.132 -0.13)50.77% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.117 -0.12)72.66% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)31.65% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.233 -0.23)68.07% (0.235 0.23)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.025000000000006 0.03)22.48% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (0.036999999999999 0.04)56.03% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Elche 29.23%
    Real Betis 45.08%
    Draw 25.68%
ElcheDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.23%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 10.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.08%

How you voted: Elche vs Betis

Elche
10.7%
Draw
10.3%
Real Betis
79.1%
234
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 8.30pm
Betis
3-0
Elche
Iglesias (28'), Juanmi (39', 60')
Fekir (4'), Ruibal (22'), Juanmi (78')

Milla (16'), Gumbau (30'), Fidel (45+4'), Marti (64'), Josan (81'), Mojica (89')
Nwankwo Donald (16')
Apr 19, 2022 8pm
Betis
0-1
Elche

Guardado (49'), Moreno (84')
Akouokou (90+3')
Morente (82')
Palacios (26'), Badia (79'), Perez (84')
Nov 21, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
0-3
Betis

Boye (53')
Juanmi (12'), Jose (24' pen.), Fekir (27')
Juanmi (18'), Moreno (90')
Bellerin (68')
Apr 4, 2021 3.15pm
Elche
1-1
Betis
Milla (36')
Guti (73')
Iglesias (14' pen.)
Carvalho (19'), Ruiz (47'), Ruibal (67'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Nov 1, 2020 1pm
Betis
3-1
Elche
Sanabria (7'), Tello (29', 56')
Fekir (51'), Sanabria (64')
Josan (60')
Sanchez Mino (41')
rhs 2.0


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