La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Sorloth (59'), Lejeune (81' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Isi (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
51.86% ( -0.09)	26.11% ( 0.02)	22.03% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 45.49% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57% (

-0)

57.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76% (

-0)

78.24% (

0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

-0.04)

22.24% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-0.06)

55.68% (

0.06)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.5% (

0.07)

41.5% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

0.06)

78% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 51.85%

Rayo Vallecano 22.03%

Draw 26.11%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.85%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.03%