La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Alexander Sorloth 59' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 81' goal
  • goal Isi 57'

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2023 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Osasuna
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Isi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result

Real Sociedad 51.86% (-0.09)
Draw 26.11% (+0.02)
Rayo Vallecano 22.03% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.49% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.43% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.24% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.37% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.63% (+0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 77.76% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 22.24% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.32% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 55.68% (+0.07)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 58.5% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 41.5% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 22% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 51.85%
Draw 26.11%
Rayo Vallecano 22.03%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.11%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.12% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.03%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 15'
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 36'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 1, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Unai Lopez 56' yellowcard
  • Oscar Valentin 73' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 77' goal
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 33'
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 38'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2021 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 68' goal
  • Alexander Isak 86' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco Dozagarat 90' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 26'
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 55'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 66'
  • yellowcard Fran Garcia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraola 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 20, 2019 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
  • Santiago Comesana 22' goal
  • Adri Embarba 28' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 76' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 88' yellowcard
  • goal Hector Moreno 39'
  • goal Willian Jose 82'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 87'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2018 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jon Bautista 5' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 15' yellowcard
  • Hector Moreno 77' yellowcard
  • Willian Jose 78' goal
  • Mikel Merino 81' yellowcard
  • Joseba Zaldua 89' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Advincula 31'
  • goal Oscar Trejo 36'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 61'
  • yellowcard Gael Kakuta 62'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 90'
La Liga
May 8, 2016 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 12' goal
  • Xabi Prieto 28' yellowcard
  • Bautista Orgilles Jon 51' goal
  • Bautista Orgilles Jon 70' yellowcard
  • Esteban Granero 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Crespo 60'
  • goal Javi Guerra 69'