Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.