Copa del Rey
May 6, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla
  • Rodrygo 2' goal
  • Rodrygo 70' goal
  • goal Lucas Torro 58'

Real Madrid vs Osasuna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Osasuna

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 7.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 78.89% (+0.02)
Draw 13.97% (-0.01)
Osasuna 7.14% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.45% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 37.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 40.21% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.78% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 22.31% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.68% (-0.02)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 92.38% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.62% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 72.76% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.24% (-0.02)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 47.63% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 52.37%
Over 1.5 13.75%
Under 1.5 86.24% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 78.87%
Draw 13.97%
Osasuna 7.14%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 13.22%
3-0 @ 11.34%
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.3% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37%
6-0 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 78.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 13.97%
Osasuna
0-1 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 7.14%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • goal Federico Valverde 78'
  • goal Marco Asensio 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • goal Kike 50'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ante Budimir 13' goal
  • Darko Brasanac 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 5'
  • goal David Alaba 12'
  • goal Marco Asensio 45'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 60'
  • yellowcard Nacho 62'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2021 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eduardo Camavinga 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Unai Garcia 15'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 1, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eder Militao 76' goal
  • Casemiro 80' goal
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 54'
  • yellowcard Oier Sanjurjo 55'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 9, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Build-up

Feature
News