Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.44%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 72.17% ( | 17.78% ( | 10.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( | 45.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( | 67.66% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( | 11.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.36% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.16% ( | 50.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.76% ( | 85.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-0 @ 13.64% ( 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 3-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 5-0 @ 2.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 72.17% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 2-2 @ 3.12% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.78% | 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.05% |