Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.