Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Girona |
| 70.08% ( | 17.37% ( | 12.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.61% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.48% ( | 58.52% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( | 9.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.61% ( | 31.39% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.45% ( | 40.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.85% ( | 77.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Girona |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 4-0 @ 5% ( 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 5-0 @ 2.38% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 6-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.07% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.55% |