La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 1, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 1
Espanyol

Martinez (53'), Stuani (88' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Braithwaite (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Espanyol
52.25% ( 0.15)	24.97% ( -0.03)	22.77% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44% (

-0.01)

52.56% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78% (

-0.01)

74.22% (

0.01)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.06)

20.1% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.09)

52.35% (

-0.09)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.98% (

-0.12)

38.01% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.22% (

-0.12)

74.78% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Girona 52.24%

Espanyol 22.77%

Draw 24.97%

Girona	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.24%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.77%