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Champions League header

Champions League
Manchester City logo
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Man City
4 - 0
Real Madrid

Silva (23', 37'), Akanji (76'), Alvarez (90+1')
Dias (50'), Gundogan (62'), Grealish (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carvajal (55'), Camavinga (75')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and the best stats from Manchester City's thumping 4-0 win over Real Madrid in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final.

Match Report

Manchester City book their spot in the final of the Champions League courtesy of a 4-0 win over Real Madrid in the second leg of their semi-final at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Everton 0-3 Man City
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Premier League

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
51.54% (-1.744 -1.74) 22.76% (0.795 0.8) 25.69% (0.95 0.95)
Both teams to score 59.93% (-1.812 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-2.841 -2.84)40.33% (2.842 2.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-2.99 -2.99)62.7% (2.992 2.99)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (-1.587 -1.59)15.77% (1.588 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.1% (-3.014 -3.01)44.9% (3.014 3.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.795 -0.8)28.85% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.999 -1)64.71% (0.99999999999999 1)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 51.54%
    Real Madrid 25.69%
    Draw 22.76%
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.632 0.63)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.34 -0.34)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.299 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.244 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 51.54%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.563 0.56)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.571 0.57)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.215 0.22)
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.598 0.6)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.301 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: Man City vs Real Madrid

Manchester City
54.9%
Draw
7.3%
Real Madrid
37.8%
851
Head to Head
May 9, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
1-1
Man City
Junior (36')
Kroos (45+3'), Ancelotti (68'), Camavinga (79')
De Bruyne (67')
Gundogan (71'), Silva (86')
May 4, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Real Madrid
3-1
Man City
Rodrygo (90', 90+1'), Benzema (95' pen.)
Modric (9'), Carvajal (65'), Militao (84'), Valverde (90+6')
Mahrez (73')
Laporte (9'), Sterling (101'), Zinchenko (113')
Apr 26, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Man City
4-3
Real Madrid
De Bruyne (2'), Jesus (11'), Foden (53'), Silva (74')
Guardiola (54'), Fernandinho (81')
Benzema (33', 82'), Junior (55')
Nacho (90+3')
Aug 7, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Man City
2-1
Real Madrid
Sterling (9'), Jesus (68')
Benzema (28')
Modric (81')
Feb 26, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Real Madrid
1-2
Man City
> Match Report
Build-up
Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti on May 9, 2023
Carlo Ancelotti to break Alex Ferguson's Champions League record versus Manchester City
Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti will break a Champions League record held by Sir Alex Ferguson in Wednesday's semi-final second leg against Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium.
May 17, 00:21
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on April 11, 2023
Pep Guardiola: 'Winning the treble will not define exceptional Manchester City legacy'
Pep Guardiola insists that success or failure to win the treble with Manchester City will have no impact on his "exceptional" legacy at the Etihad Stadium.
May 16, 16:18
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
Manchester City's Nathan Ake to miss Real Madrid Champions League tie
Manchester City defender Nathan Ake will miss Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg against Real Madrid at the Etihad Stadium.
May 16, 15:47
 Real Madrid's Eduardo Camavinga goes down injured on May 13, 2023
How Real Madrid could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Manchester City.
May 15, 09:48
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
How Manchester City could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Real Madrid.
May 15, 09:40
 Manchester City's Nathan Ake goes down injured on May 6, 2023
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Real Madrid.
May 15, 07:19
 Real Madrid's Eduardo Camavinga goes down injured on May 13, 2023
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.
May 14, 12:20
 Real Madrid attacker Rodrygo celebrates scoring against Osasuna on May 6, 2023
Carlo Ancelotti 'to drop Rodrygo for second leg against Manchester City'
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti plans to drop Rodrygo to the bench for the second leg of the Champions League semi-final with Manchester City, according to a report.
May 11, 16:38
rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316
> Premier League Full Table


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