La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Getafe

Asensio (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

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May 13, 22:38

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Man City
Tuesday, May 9 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 6.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Getafe
80.38% ( -0.02)	13.26% ( 0.03)	6.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 42.25% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

-0.14)

37.35% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.44% (

-0.15)

59.56% (

0.16)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

-0.03)

7.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.7% (

-0.09)

26.3% (

0.1)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.56% (

-0.11)

54.44% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.46% (

-0.06)

87.54% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 80.37%

Getafe 6.36%

Draw 13.26%

Real Madrid	Draw	Getafe
2-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 80.37%	1-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.26%	0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.36%