La Liga
Gameweek
34
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgetlog.png)
-
Marco Asensio
70'
Real Madrid vs Getafe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Fdani-carvajal.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F19%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F46%2Fnacho.JPG)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F52%2Fferland-mendy.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 6.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
80.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
13.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Getafe
6.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
42.25%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.65%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
37.35%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
40.44%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
59.56%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
22.49%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
77.51%
▲
(+0.13)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
92.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
7.26%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
73.7%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
26.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5
45.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
54.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
12.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
87.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
80.37%
Draw
13.26%
Getafe
6.36%
Real Madrid
2-0
@
13.59%
▲
(+0.04)
3-0 @ 11.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 80.37%
3-0 @ 11.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 80.37%
Draw
1-1
@
6.3%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.26%
0-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.26%
Getafe
0-1
@
2.4%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 6.36%
1-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 6.36%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
8
-
Eder Militao
3'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Casemiro
38'
-
Casemiro
44'
-
Federico Valverde
45'
-
Lucas Vazquez
68'
-
Mathias Olivera
76'
-
Djene Dakonam
79'
La Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Enes Unal
9'
-
Damian Suarez
56'
-
Mauro Arambarri
82'
-
Mathias Olivera
90'+6'
-
Rodrygo
21'
-
Carlo Ancelotti
41'
-
Casemiro
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
33
-
Vinicius Junior
54'
-
Allan Nyom
58'
-
Angel Rodriguez
75'
-
Marc Cucurella
86'
La Liga
Gameweek
1
-
Karim Benzema
60'
-
Ferland Mendy
67'
-
Ferland Mendy
71'
-
Sofian Chakla
52'
Pre-Season Friendlies
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Karim Benzema
1'
-
Karim Benzema
2'
-
Karim Benzema
3'
-
Karim Benzema
4'
-
Sergio Ramos
5'
-
Sergio Arribas
6'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F14%2Fkarim-benzema_1.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F15%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)