Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
| 33.57% ( | 25.64% ( | 40.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( | 49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( | 71.08% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( | 27.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( | 63.43% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( | 23.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( | 57.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.78% |