Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
33.57% ( -0.03) | 25.64% ( -0.01) | 40.78% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% ( 0.05) | 49% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% ( 0.05) | 71.08% ( -0.05) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( 0.01) | 27.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( 0.01) | 63.43% ( -0.01) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( 0.05) | 23.79% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% ( 0.06) | 57.95% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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