Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 25

May 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
4 - 1
Brighton

Undav (22' og.), Burn (45+4'), Wilson (89'), Guimaraes (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Undav (51')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United are on the verge of making their Champions League dream a reality thanks to a pulsating 4-1 win over Brighton & Hove Albion at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, May 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Brighton
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
46.16% ( 0.01)	23.81%	30.03% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.79% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

42.06% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53%

64.47% (

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

18.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

49.62% (

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0)

26.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0)

61.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 46.16%

Brighton & Hove Albion 30.03%

Draw 23.8%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.03%