Premier League Gameweek 25
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Deniz Undav 22' goal
  • Dan Burn 45'+4' goal
  • Callum Wilson 89' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+1' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 51'

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 12.30pm
Leeds 2 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Arsenal 0 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Alexis Mac Allister

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 46.16% (+0.01)
Draw 23.81%
Brighton & Hove Albion 30.03% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.79% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.06% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.53%
Under 3.5 64.47% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.67% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.33% (+0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.56% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.62% (+0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.69% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.06% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 46.16%
Draw 23.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion 30.03%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.03%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexis Mac Allister 34' yellowcard
  • Solly March 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 22'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 58'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ryan Fraser 12' goal
  • Fabian Schar 14' goal
  • Joelinton 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Dunk 55'
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 63'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 24' goal
  • Adam Lallana 75' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 84' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 84' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 12'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 60'
  • goal Isaac Hayden 66'
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 69'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 73'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 20, 2021 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 45'+3' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 51' goal
  • Neal Maupay 68' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Dummett 63'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jonjo Shelvey 12' yellowcard
  • Jamal Lewis 25' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 34' yellowcard
  • goal Neal Maupay 4'
  • goal Neal Maupay 7'
  • goal Aaron Connolly 83'
  • redcard Yves Bissouma 89'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Jul 20, 2020 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Yves Bissouma 23' yellowcard
  • Pascal Gross 26' yellowcard
  • Dale Stephens 46' yellowcard
  • Adam Webster 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 31'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 63'

Build-up

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