Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
1 - 0
Man Utd

Mac Allister (90+9' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Manchester United defender Luke Shaw is substituted on April 5, 2023

Luke Shaw accepts blame for Manchester United's loss at Brighton & Hove Albion

Manchester United defender Luke Shaw takes responsibility for his side's 1-0 loss to Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.

May 5, 16:58

Antony celebrates pulling one back for Manchester United on October 2, 2022

Erik ten Hag: 'Antony's passion is one of his strengths'

Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag defends Antony after the Brazilian became involved in a heated incident against Brighton & Hove Albion.

May 5, 16:38

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester United
56.88% ( -0.03)	22.35% ( 0.01)	20.77% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.04% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

-0.01)

43.9% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.71% (

-0.01)

66.28% (

0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.01)

15.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.02)

43.87% (

0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

0.01)

35.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17% (

0.01)

71.82% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 56.88%

Manchester United 20.77%

Draw 22.34%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.77%