Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.