Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
0 - 2
Man Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antony (32'), Dalot (76')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Manchester United
22.5% ( -0.02)	22.85% ( 0.14)	54.64% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.98% (

-0.66)

44.02% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0.64)

66.4% (

0.64)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-0.39)

33.51% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-0.42)

70.15% (

0.42)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

-0.28)

16.02% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65% (

-0.5)

45.35% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 22.5%

Manchester United 54.64%

Draw 22.85%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.5%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.64%