Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
12.88% ( -0.04) | 17.5% ( 0.06) | 69.62% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.84% ( -0.43) | 36.15% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.73% ( -0.47) | 58.27% ( 0.47) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.11% ( -0.35) | 39.88% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.45% ( -0.32) | 76.54% ( 0.32) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.65% ( -0.11) | 9.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.5% ( -0.27) | 31.5% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 12.88% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5% | 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 69.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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