Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diogo Jota 47' goal
  • Diogo Jota 55' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 70' goal
  • goal Neco Williams 51'
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 67'

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2023 8.00pm
Leeds 1 - 6 Liverpool
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 4.30pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 8.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 76.48% (-0.18)
Draw 14.64% (+0.12)
Nottingham Forest 8.88% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.37% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.96% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 34.04% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 44.09% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 55.9% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 25.52% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 74.48% (+0.35)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 92.66% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 7.34% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 73.5% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 26.5% (+0.31)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 54.36% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 45.64% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 18.56% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 81.44% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Liverpool 76.48%
Draw 14.64%
Nottingham Forest 8.88%
Liverpool
2-0 @ 11.42% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 6.5% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 5.1% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.4% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.66% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 76.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.86% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.35% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 14.64%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 2.69% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 2.63% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 8.88%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 55' goal
FA Cup
Mar 20, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 60'
  • goal Diogo Jota 78'
Premier League
Apr 5, 1999 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dougie Freedman 60' goal
  • Pierre van Hooijdonk 90' goal
  • goal Jamie Redknapp 15'
  • goal Michael Owen 72'
Premier League
Oct 24, 1998 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Michael Owen 10' goal
  • Steve McManaman 23' goal
  • Michael Owen 38' goal
  • Michael Owen 71' goal
  • Michael Owen 77' goal
  • goal Dougie Freedman 18'
Premier League
Mar 15, 1997 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ian Woan 30' goal
  • goal Robbie Fowler 4'
Premier League
Dec 17, 1996 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Stan Collymore 6' goal
  • Robbie Fowler 27' goal
  • Des Lyttle 51' goal
  • Stan Collymore 63' goal
  • goal Kevin Campbell 34'
  • goal Stuart Pearce 60'

Build-up

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