Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Jota (47', 55'), Salah (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (51'), Gibbs-White (67')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on April 17, 2023

Jurgen Klopp makes "exceptional" Diogo Jota claim after Nottingham Forest victory

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp hails Diogo Jota's "exceptional" second goal in the Reds' nail-biting 3-2 Premier League win over Nottingham Forest.

Apr 22, 19:53

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leeds 1-6 Liverpool
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 8.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Nottingham Forest
76.48% ( -0.17)	14.64% ( 0.12)	8.88% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.96% (

-0.36)

34.04% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.09% (

-0.41)

55.9% (

0.41)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.66% (

-0.11)

7.34% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.5% (

-0.31)

26.5% (

0.31)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.36% (

-0.12)

45.64% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.56% (

-0.09)

81.44% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 76.48%

Nottingham Forest 8.88%

Draw 14.64%

Liverpool	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 76.48%	1-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.64%	1-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 8.88%