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FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Brighton
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Undav (6'), Ferguson (51', 70'), March (82'), Mitoma (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 at the Amex Stadium on Sunday to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, as the League Two visitors were denied making history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
69.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 18.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 11.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.355 0.35)44.47% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.343 0.34)66.84% (-0.343 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.133 0.13)36.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.476 0.48)47.19% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.354 0.35)82.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%
    Grimsby Town 11.71%
    Draw 18.62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
2-0 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.71%

How you voted: Brighton vs Grimsby Town

Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
Draw
9.7%
Grimsby Town
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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