FA Cup

FA Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 19, 2023 at 2.15pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Undav (6'), Ferguson (51', 70'), March (82'), Mitoma (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 at the Amex Stadium on Sunday to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, as the League Two visitors were denied making history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Grimsby Town
69.66% ( -0.15)	18.62% ( 0)	11.71% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

0.35)

44.47% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

0.34)

66.84% (

-0.34)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

0.06)

11.6% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41% (

0.13)

36.58% (

-0.13)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81% (

0.48)

47.19% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37% (

0.35)

82.63% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%

Grimsby Town 11.71%

Draw 18.62%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 69.66%	1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.62%	0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 11.71%