FA Cup
Mar 19, 2023 2.15pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Deniz Undav 6' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 51' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 70' goal
  • Solly March 82' goal
  • Kaoru Mitoma 90' goal

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66% (-0.15)
Draw 18.62% (+0.01)
Grimsby Town 11.71% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.68% (+0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.52% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 44.47% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 33.15% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 66.84% (-0.35)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 88.4% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 11.6% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 63.41% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 36.58% (-0.14)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 52.81% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 47.19% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 17.37% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 82.63% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%
Draw 18.62%
Grimsby Town 11.71%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-0 @ 12.7% (-0.14)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.85% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.58% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.62%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.71%