League Two

League Two | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

McCalmont (36'), Gibson (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Grimsby Town
50.99% ( 1.55)	25.07% ( -0.15)	23.94% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.14% (

-0.54)

51.85% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

-0.47)

73.61% (

0.47)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.65% (

0.43)

20.34% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.26% (

0.68)

52.73% (

-0.68)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.47% (

-1.52)

36.53% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68% (

-1.57)

73.31% (

1.56)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 50.98%

Grimsby Town 23.94%

Draw 25.06%

Carlisle United	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.94%