MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 08:26:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
1 - 0
Colchester

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
44.88% (0.163 0.16) 28.01% (0.336 0.34) 27.11% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.55% (-1.38 -1.38)60.45% (1.382 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-1.054 -1.05)80.58% (1.057 1.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.557 -0.56)26.87% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.739 -0.74)62.19% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.177 -1.18)38.51% (1.178 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.141 -1.14)75.26% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.88%
    Colchester United 27.11%
    Draw 28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-1
Carlisle
Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
Mellish (29')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Colchester
Alessandra (4'), Mellish (29'), Hayden (81')
Riley (22'), Mellish (61'), Guy (64')
Norris (44', 52')
Pell (34'), Harriott (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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