League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Alfie McCalmont 4' goal

Carlisle United vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Carlisle 0 - 4 Mansfield
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Colchester 0 - 0 Walsall
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Noah Chilvers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result

Carlisle United 44.88% (+0.17)
Draw 28.01% (+0.34)
Colchester United 27.11% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.96% (-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.55% (-1.39)
Under 2.5 60.45% (+1.39)
Over 3.5 19.42% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 80.58% (+1.06)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 73.12% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 26.87% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 37.81% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 62.19% (+0.74)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 61.49% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 38.51% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 24.74% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 75.26% (+1.15)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 44.88%
Draw 28%
Colchester United 27.11%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 13.6% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 8.94% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.35% (+0.53)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 9.88% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Noah Chilvers 19' goal
  • goal Kristian Dennis 44'
  • yellowcard Fin Back 74'
  • yellowcard Ben Barclay 82'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tommy Smith 69' goal
  • Luke Chambers 70' yellowcard
  • Tyreik Wright 74' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 33'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Roberts 41'
  • goal Omari Patrick 51'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 65'
  • goal Tobi Sho-Silva 86'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 41' yellowcard
  • Corey Whelan 58' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 33
Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Callum Harriott 66' goal
  • Callum Harriott 74' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Mellish 29'
League Two Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Lewis Alessandra 4' goal
  • Joe Riley 22' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 29' goal
  • Jon Mellish 61' yellowcard
  • Callum Guy 64' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hayden 81' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Pell 34'
  • goal Luke Norris 44'
  • goal Luke Norris 52'
  • yellowcard Callum Harriott 61'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Nick Anderton 49' yellowcard
  • goal Kwame Poku 41'
  • goal Luke Norris 43'
  • goal Kwame Poku 59'