League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 0
Colchester

McCalmont (4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Colchester United
44.88% ( 0.16)	28.01% ( 0.34)	27.11% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.55% (

-1.38)

60.45% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.42% (

-1.05)

80.58% (

1.06)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

-0.56)

26.87% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-0.74)

62.19% (

0.74)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-1.18)

38.51% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-1.14)

75.26% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 44.88%

Colchester United 27.11%

Draw 28%

Carlisle United	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.88% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.11%