/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
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Ollie Clarke
14'
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Alfie Kilgour
25'
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Lucas Akins
29'
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Elliott Hewitt
38'
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result
Carlisle United
38.32%
▼
(-1.92)
Draw
27.54%
▲
(+0.44)
Mansfield Town
34.14%
▲
(+1.49)
Both Teams to Score:
49.06%
▼
(-1.00)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.38%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 2.5
56.62%
▲
(+1.40)
Over 3.5
22.41%
▼
(-1.14)
Under 3.5
77.59%
▲
(+1.14)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
71.35%
▼
(-1.75)
Under 0.5
28.65%
▲
(+1.75)
Over 1.5
35.53%
▼
(-2.25)
Under 1.5
64.47%
▲
(+2.25)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
68.76%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
31.24%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
32.42%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
67.58%
▼
(-0.33)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
38.31%
Draw
27.53%
Mansfield Town
34.14%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
11.18%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 38.31%
2-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 38.31%
Draw
1-1
@
13.01%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.53%
0-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.53%
Mansfield Town
0-1
@
10.41%
▲
(+0.63)
1-2 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.14%
1-2 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.14%
