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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 31.82% ( | 28.81% ( | 39.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.46% ( | 61.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% ( | 81.39% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( | 35.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( | 72.17% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( | 30.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.81% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.37% |