League Two | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley2 - 5Carlisle
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
29.4% ( -0.19) | 26.29% ( -0.25) | 44.3% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
