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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Crawley
2 - 2
Crewe

Offord (19' og.), Gladwin (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Agyei (51', 61' pen.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
48.54% (0.027000000000001 0.03)26.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.98% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.129 0.13)55.81% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.105 0.11)76.93% (-0.105 -0.11)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.067999999999998 0.07)23.03% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.097999999999999 0.1)56.85% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (0.081000000000003 0.08)37.67% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.077999999999999 0.08)74.45% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 48.53%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.12%
    Draw 26.34%
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.53%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.12%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Crawley
Baker-Richardson (73')
Baker-Richardson (38')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Crewe
2-1
Crawley
Porter (72' pen., 90')
Offord (83'), Ainley (90')
Ferguson (84' pen.)
Francomb (51'), Bulman (67'), Grego-Cox (68')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Crewe
Lubula (16')
Lubula (51')
Wintle (29'), Green (55')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Crewe
6-1
Crawley
Bowery (36'), Dallison (38' og.), Porter (42'), Green (43'), Kirk (47'), Dale (83')
Hunt (79')
Palmer (13' pen.)
Meite (80')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Crawley
3-0
Crewe
Payne (15' pen.), McNerney (81'), Bulman (90')
Maguire (20'), Payne (33')

Nicholls (85')