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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
48.54% ( 0.03) | 26.35% ( -0.03) | 25.12% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.98% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.19% ( 0.13) | 55.81% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.06% ( 0.11) | 76.93% ( -0.11) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( 0.07) | 23.03% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% ( 0.1) | 56.85% ( -0.1) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.33% ( 0.08) | 37.67% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.56% ( 0.08) | 74.45% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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