League Two Gameweek 29
Grimsby Town
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
Newport
  • John McAtee 36' goal
  • goal Priestley Farquharson 55'

Grimsby Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Carlisle 2 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Harry Clifton

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Salford City 3 - 1 Newport
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Omar Bogle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Grimsby Town 38.3% ▲ (+1.71)
Draw 28.13% ▼ (-0.24)
Newport County 33.57% ▼ (-1.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.2% ▲ (+0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.1% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 2.5 58.9% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 3.5 20.61% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 79.39% ▼ (-0.55)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.22% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 0.5 29.78% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 1.5 34.15% ▲ (+1.66)
Under 1.5 65.85% ▼ (-1.66)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 32.78% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 30.66% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 69.34% ▲ (+0.69)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 38.29%
Draw 28.13%
Newport County 33.56%
Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.82% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 38.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
Newport County
0-1 @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.49)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.38)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.56%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 7
Newport
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town
  • Scot Bennett 22' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Bryn Morris 63'
  • yellowcard Brendan Kiernan 80'
  • goal Harry Clifton 83'
  • yellowcard Andy Smith 88'
League Two Gameweek 28
Newport
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town
  • Scott Bennett 37' redcard
  • Nicky Maynard 51' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 81'
League Two Gameweek 12
Grimsby Town
Dec 8, 2020 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Blundell Park
Newport
  • Luke Hendrie 24' yellowcard
  • Terry Taylor 52' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 66' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Twine 25'
  • goal Padraig Amond 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Robbie Willmott 50'
League Two Gameweek 42
Newport
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town
League Two Gameweek 18
Grimsby Town
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Blundell Park
Newport
  • Bradley Garmston 1' goal
  • James Hanson 29' yellowcard
  • Josh Benson 40' goal
  • James Hanson 61' goal
  • Max Wright 84' goal
  • goal Jordan Green 10'
  • yellowcard Ryan Inniss 39'
  • goal Padraig Amond 68'
  • yellowcard Joss Labadie 73'
FA Cup Gameweek 1
Newport
Nov 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Grimsby Town
  • Tristan Abrahams 47' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 50' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 85' yellowcard
  • Joss Labadie 92' goal
  • yellowcard Ahkeem Rose 52'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 80'
  • redcard Matthew Pollock 91'

Form Data

Carlisle 2 - 0 Grimsby Town
Southampton 1 - 2 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 2 - 2 Leyton Orient
Grimsby Town 0 - 0 Harrogate
Northampton 1 - 2 Grimsby Town
Gillingham 2 - 1 Grimsby Town
Salford City 3 - 1 Newport
Newport 0 - 2 Sutton
Hartlepool 0 - 1 Newport
Walsall 1 - 1 Newport
Newport 2 - 2 Stevenage
Barrow 0 - 1 Newport