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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Newport County

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Newport

McAtee (36')
Waterfall (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Newport County

Seven of Grimsby's 15 home games at Blundell Park have finished in stalemates, with their games against Harrogate Town and Leyton Orient ending goalless and 2-2, respectively, while Newport played out to draws in five of their last 10 games on the road. A tie with both teams finding the back of the net appears to be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
38.3% (1.7 1.7) 28.13% (-0.232 -0.23) 33.57% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 47.2% (0.52 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (0.714 0.71)58.9% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.55 0.55)79.39% (-0.55 -0.55)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (1.397 1.4)29.78% (-1.396 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (1.659 1.66)65.85% (-1.659 -1.66)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.60799999999999 -0.61)32.78% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.685 -0.69)69.34% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 38.29%
    Newport County 33.56%
    Draw 28.13%
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.378 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Newport

Grimsby Town
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Newport County
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Newport

Hendrie (24'), Taylor (52'), Waterfall (66')
Twine (25'), Amond (45+1' pen.)
Willmott (50')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
4-2
Newport
Garmston (1'), Benson (40'), Hanson (61'), Wright (84')
Hanson (29')
Green (10'), Amond (68')
Inniss (39'), Labadie (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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