League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Newport

McAtee (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Farquharson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Newport County
38.3% ( 1.7)	28.13% ( -0.23)	33.57% ( -1.47)

Both teams to score 47.2% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.1% (

0.71)

58.9% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.55)

79.39% (

-0.55)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

1.4)

29.78% (

-1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

1.66)

65.85% (

-1.66)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

-0.61)

32.78% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

-0.69)

69.34% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 38.29%

Newport County 33.56%

Draw 28.13%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.29%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.56%