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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 41.84% ( | 28.53% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.82% ( | 61.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.87% ( | 81.13% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( | 28.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( | 64.71% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% ( | 36.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% ( | 73.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.83% Total : 29.62% |