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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 27.74% | 27.79% | 44.47% |
| Both teams to score 45.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% | 79.77% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% | 37.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% | 74.18% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% | 26.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% | 61.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 6.37% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.73% Total : 27.74% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 13.17% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.47% |