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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Walsall |
| 43.45% | 30.02% | 26.53% |
| Both teams to score 39.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.11% | 66.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.81% | 85.19% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% | 42.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.97% | 79.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 15.48% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.76% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 13.14% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.09% Total : 26.53% |