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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 33.96% | 28.32% | 37.73% |
| Both teams to score 46.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% | 79.86% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% | 32.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% | 30.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% | 66.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.96% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.88% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.72% |