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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Sutton United

Newport
0 - 2
Sutton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Rowe (9'), Smith (65')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Newport
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 2-0 Doncaster
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
43.13% (0.13 0.13)27.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)29.02% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.92% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)59.08% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.47% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.045999999999992 0.05)27.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)62.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (-0.129 -0.13)36.21% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (-0.131 -0.13)72.99% (0.13300000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 43.12%
    Sutton United 29.02%
    Draw 27.85%
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 29.02%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Sutton
1-1
Newport
Bugiel (24')
Goodliffe (10'), Bugiel (56'), Rowe (89')
Bogle (38')
Norman (10'), Bowen (72'), Bennett (74')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Sutton
1-0
Newport
Milsom (45' pen.)
Bennett (47'), Bouzanis (73'), Milsom (80'), John (85'), Boldewijn (90+1')

Norman (80'), Dolan (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Newport
3-2
Sutton
Collins (53'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Dolan (90+3' pen.)
Ajiboye (24', 42')
Barden (72')
Eastmond (34')
rhs 2.0


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