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Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Swindon Town

Sutton
2 - 1
Swindon

Angol (85'), Smith (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (14')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
36.19% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)28.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.74% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48% (0.061 0.06)58.52% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (0.047999999999998 0.05)79.1% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)30.88% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)67.16% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.13800000000001 0.14)31.17% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.159 0.16)67.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 36.19%
    Swindon Town 35.73%
    Draw 28.07%
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Sutton vs Swindon

Sutton United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Clayton (27')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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