League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Lee Angol 85' goal
  • Alistair Smith 88' goal
  • goal Charlie Austin 14'

Sutton United vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Hartlepool 2 - 2 Sutton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Swindon 0 - 2 Doncaster
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 36.19% (-0.16)
Draw 28.07% (-0.02)
Swindon Town 35.74% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.48% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 58.52% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 20.91% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 79.1% (-0.05)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 69.13% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.88% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 32.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.16% (+0.08)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.84% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 31.17% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 32.5% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 67.5% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Sutton United 36.19%
Draw 28.07%
Swindon Town 35.73%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.62% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.07%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 11.21% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.69% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.54% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.73%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Tyrese Shade 35' goal
  • Jonny Williams 38' goal
  • Jacob Wakeling 90'+2' goal
  • goal Will Randall 4'
  • goal Will Randall 42'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Josh Davison 14' goal
  • Louis Reed 35' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 49' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 63' yellowcard
  • Josh Davison 70' yellowcard
  • Louis Reed 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Joe Kizzi 28'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 49'
  • yellowcard Coby Rowe 85'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Louis John 24' yellowcard
  • Harry Beautyman 39' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 60' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Barden 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Reed 17'
  • goal Jonny Williams 31'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 87'
  • yellowcard Romoney Crichlow 90'+1'