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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Sutton United

Hartlepool
2 - 2
Sutton

Kemp (43'), Dodds (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ajiboye (18'), Angol (31')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSutton United
31.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.42% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)58.32% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (-0.012 -0.01)78.94% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)34.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)70.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 31.12%
    Sutton United 41.03%
    Draw 27.83%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.12%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.55% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.03%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Sutton
2-0
Hartlepool
Randall (53'), Beautyman (66')

Crawford (66')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Sutton
Crawford (51')
Kizzi (3')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-0
Hartlepool
Goodliffe (25')
Bugiel (74'), Milsom (90+1')

Featherstone (70'), Byrne (74'), Cullen (86')
May 23, 2021 12.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Hartlepool
Milsom (35'), John (73'), Olaofe (80')

Johnson (55'), Francis-Angol (57')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
1-0
Sutton
Oates (53')
Holohan (54'), Featherstone (75'), Cass (77')

Davis (73')