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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
50.42% ( 0.26) | 25.48% ( -0.2) | 24.1% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.69% ( 0.72) | 53.31% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.14% ( 0.61) | 74.86% ( -0.61) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( 0.41) | 21.16% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.97% ( 0.63) | 54.03% ( -0.62) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( 0.35) | 37.19% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( 0.34) | 73.98% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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