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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 43.61% | 26.56% | 29.83% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% | 75.41% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% | 59.06% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% | 32.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% | 69.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.6% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.83% |