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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
| 31.1% | 26.32% | 42.58% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% | 52.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% | 74.19% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% | 31.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% | 67.56% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% | 58.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.58% |