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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 29.51% | 27.17% | 43.32% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% | 56.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% | 77.43% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.89% | 71.11% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% | 25.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% | 60.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.51% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 12.02% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.31% |