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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Sutton United |
| 32.18% | 27.44% | 40.38% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% | 56.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% | 77.56% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% | 32.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% | 69.07% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% | 27.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% | 62.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.37% |