Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 39.6% | 26.72% | 33.68% |
| Both teams to score 51.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% | 53.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% | 74.99% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% | 61.61% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% | 29.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% | 66.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.68% |