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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 32.47% ( | 27.73% ( | 39.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% ( | 57.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% ( | 78.38% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( | 32.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( | 69.44% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( | 28.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36% ( | 64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.79% |