League Two

League Two | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 2
Stevenage

Bogle (43', 84' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Norris (3'), Roberts (49')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Newport
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bradford
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Stevenage
37.78% ( -0.66)	28.02% ( 0.09)	34.2% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.6% (

-0.26)

58.4% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.99% (

-0.2)

79.01% (

0.2)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.52)

29.84% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

-0.63)

65.93% (

0.63)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

0.25)

32.11% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

0.28)

68.58% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Newport County 37.78%

Stevenage 34.2%

Draw 28.01%

Newport County	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.2%