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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Bradford City |
57.04% ( 0.03) | 25.43% ( 0.01) | 17.52% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 41.02% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.14% ( -0.08) | 59.85% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.87% ( -0.06) | 80.13% ( 0.07) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0.02) | 21.07% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% ( -0.04) | 53.89% ( 0.04) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.97% ( -0.1) | 48.03% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.75% ( -0.07) | 83.25% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 15.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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