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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Newport County

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Newport

FT(HT: 0-0)
Demetriou (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Newport
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
29.62% (-0.205 -0.2)27.24% (0.481 0.48)43.14% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-1.513 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-1.889 -1.89)56.63% (1.892 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-1.542 -1.54)77.6% (1.545 1.55)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-1.15 -1.15)34.42% (1.154 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-1.247 -1.25)71.13% (1.25 1.25)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.991 -0.99)26.01% (0.995 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-1.358 -1.36)61.03% (1.361 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 29.62%
    Newport County 43.14%
    Draw 27.23%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.14%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Newport

Hartlepool United
46.2%
Draw
11.5%
Newport County
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Hartlepool
Bogle (16' og.), Street (72')
Sterry (35'), Molyneux (45+3'), Byrne (73')
Liddle (28'), Sterry (87')
Nov 12, 2021 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-2
Newport
Ferguson (63')
Baker-Richardson (32'), Telford (90+3')
Cooper (60'), Demetriou (62'), Upson (90')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Newport
3-1
Hartlepool
Bird (15'), Williams (56'), Butler (71')
Amond (94')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Newport
Featherstone (2'), Amond (38')
Nsiala (3')
Rigg (4'), Parkin (27')
Randall (47'), Jones (62')
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
Newport
0-0
Hartlepool

Featherstone (59'), Jackson (77')