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Barrow
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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Newport County

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Newport


Pruti (27'), Jennings (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Demetriou (90+1')
Baker (45+1'), Bennett (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Newport
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 1-1 Newport County

With Newport collecting more points on the road than they have at home this season, they represent dangerous opponents for Hartlepool on Tuesday. However, the hosts will be determined to claim another positive result after moving outside of the relegation zone at the weekend, with Crawley's ominous games in hand on them ramping up the pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
29.62% (-0.205 -0.2) 27.24% (0.481 0.48) 43.14% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-1.513 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-1.889 -1.89)56.63% (1.892 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-1.542 -1.54)77.6% (1.545 1.55)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-1.15 -1.15)34.42% (1.154 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-1.247 -1.25)71.13% (1.25 1.25)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.991 -0.99)26.01% (0.995 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-1.358 -1.36)61.03% (1.361 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 29.62%
    Newport County 43.14%
    Draw 27.23%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.14%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Newport

Hartlepool United
46.2%
Draw
11.5%
Newport County
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Hartlepool
Bogle (16' og.), Street (72')
Sterry (35'), Molyneux (45+3'), Byrne (73')
Liddle (28'), Sterry (87')
Nov 12, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Newport
Featherstone (2'), Amond (38')
Nsiala (3')
Rigg (4'), Parkin (27')
Randall (47'), Jones (62')
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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