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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Hartlepool United

Crewe
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Ainley (31'), Finnigan (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawHartlepool United
33.45% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)27.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)39.34% (0.468 0.47)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.067 -0.07)55.46% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.055 -0.05)76.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.343 -0.34)31.11% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.401 -0.4)67.43% (0.401 0.4)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.233 0.23)27.51% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.302 0.3)63.02% (-0.302 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 33.45%
    Hartlepool United 39.34%
    Draw 27.2%
Crewe AlexandraDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.45%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.34%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Crewe
Umerah (33' pen.)
Agyei (86')
King (90+3')
Aug 10, 2021 7pm
First Round
Hartlepool
0-1
Crewe
Ainley (50')
Ramsay (81'), Dale (90+2')
Sass-Davies (13')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Hartlepool
4-0
Crewe
Alessandra (45', 85'), Amond (71'), Thomas (91')
Thomas (84'), Oates (88')

Bakayogo (69'), Nugent (86')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Crewe
3-3
Hartlepool
Dagnall (31'), Kiwomya (45'), Cooper (56')
Guthrie (92')
Magnay (42', 76'), Amond (72')
Feb 26, 2013 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-0
Crewe
Franks (40'), Wyke (27'), Monkhouse (90')
Poole (45')