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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hartlepool United |
33.45% ( -0.47) | 27.21% ( -0) | 39.34% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( -0.07) | 55.46% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( -0.05) | 76.65% ( 0.05) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.34) | 31.11% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.4) | 67.43% ( 0.4) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( 0.23) | 27.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( 0.3) | 63.02% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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