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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Hartlepool United

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Hartlepool

Al-Hamadi (31'), Jaiyesimi (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kemp (71', 90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawHartlepool United
47.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)25.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 45.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.89% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.55% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.97%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 47.28%
    Hartlepool United 25.38%
    Draw 27.33%
AFC WimbledonDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.38%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Cooke (78'), Featherstone (89'), Crawford (90+1')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Jackson (22')
Oct 31, 2015 2pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Hartlepool
Kennedy (18'), Taylor (28')

Carroll (23'), Oyenuga (75'), Fenwick (85')
Feb 28, 2015 3pm
Hartlepool
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Bird (73')

Fuller (40'), Potter (70'), Winfield (101')
Aug 23, 2014 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Hartlepool
Tubbs (11')
Pell (66')
Wyke (46'), Harewood (68')