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Championship header 2

League Two

Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Newport County

Salford City
3 - 1
Newport

Hendry (45+1'), McAleny (46'), Smith (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Charsley (29')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNewport County
40.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)68.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 40.58%
    Newport County 32.13%
    Draw 27.28%
Salford CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.13%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Salford City
Bennett (72'), Bogle (75')
Demetriou (18'), Lewis (39'), Bogle (73')
Bolton (54'), Norman (57' og.), Leak (83')
Nartey (10'), Vassell (74')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-2
Salford City

Norman (72')
Azaz (44' og.), Thomas-Asante (52')
Lund (72')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Newport
Wright (1'), McAleny (18'), Henderson (30')
Touray (32'), Morris (41'), Henderson (60'), N’Mai (90+1')

Abraham (45+3'), Upson (72'), Norman (74')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Newport
0-0
Salford City

Bennett (78')
Sheehan (58')
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Salford City
1-1
Newport
Clarke (44')
Threlkeld (75'), Hladky (87'), Touray (90+3')
Sheehan (90+4' pen.)
Willmott (56'), Shephard (81')
rhs 2.0


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