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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Rochdale |
51.82% ( -0.55) | 25.69% ( 0.15) | 22.49% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 47.17% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.5% ( -0.19) | 55.5% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.32% ( -0.16) | 76.68% ( 0.16) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.54% ( -0.31) | 21.46% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.51% ( -0.48) | 54.49% ( 0.48) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% ( 0.28) | 39.94% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% ( 0.26) | 76.6% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.82% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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