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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 40.59% ( | 25.65% | 33.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( | 48.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( | 71.07% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( | 58.09% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( | 27.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( | 63.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.76% |