Championship

May 27, 2023 at 4.45pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Hamer (66')

FT
(aet)

Clark (23')

Luton win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town are promoted to the Premier League for the first time in their history with a penalty-shootout win over Coventry City in the Championship playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Coventry
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%).

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Luton Town
38.25%	28.6%	33.14%

Both teams to score 45.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39%

60.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3%

80.7%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35%

30.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1%

66.89%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03%

33.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35%

70.64%

Score Analysis

Coventry City 38.25%

Luton Town 33.14%

Draw 28.6%

Coventry City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.6%	0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.14%